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Chapter 8 - Relationships Among Inflation, Interest Rates and Exchange Rates



Multiple Choice
Identify the choice that best completes the statement or answers the question.
 

 1. 

Assume a two-country world: Country A and Country B. Which of the following is correct about purchasing power parity (PPP) as related to these two countries?
a.
If Country A's inflation rate exceeds Country B's inflation rate, Country A's currency will weaken.
b.
If Country A's interest rate exceeds Country B's inflation rate, Country A's currency will weaken.
c.
If Country A's interest rate exceeds Country B's inflation rate, Country A's currency will strengthen.
d.
If Country B's inflation rate exceeds Country A's inflation rate, Country A's currency will weaken.
 

 2. 

The international Fisher effect (IFE) suggests that:
a.
a home currency will depreciate if the current home interest rate exceeds the current foreign interest rate.
b.
a home currency will appreciate if the current home interest rate exceeds the current foreign interest rate.
c.
a home currency will appreciate if the current home inflation rate exceeds the current foreign inflation rate.
d.
a home currency will depreciate if the current home inflation rate exceeds the current foreign inflation rate.
 

 3. 

According to the IFE, if British interest rates exceed U.S. interest rates:
a.
the British pound's value will remain constant.
b.
the British pound will depreciate against the dollar.
c.
the British inflation rate will decrease.
d.
the forward rate of the British pound will contain a premium.
e.
today's forward rate of the British pound will equal today's spot rate.
 

 4. 

If interest rates on the euro are consistently below U.S. interest rates, then for the international Fisher effect (IFE) to hold:
a.
the value of the euro would often appreciate against the dollar.
b.
the value of the euro would often depreciate against the dollar.
c.
the value of the euro would remain constant most of the time.
d.
the value of the euro would appreciate in some periods and depreciate in other periods, but on average have a zero rate of appreciation.
 

 5. 

According to the international Fisher effect, if euro investors expect a 5% rate of domestic inflation over one year, and a 2% rate of inflation in the US, and require a 3% real return on investments over one year, the nominal interest rate on one-year euro Treasury securities would be:
a.
2%.
b.
3%.
c.
-2%.
d.
5%.
e.
8%.
 

 6. 

Assume UKand Swiss investors require a real rate of return of 3%. Assume the nominal UK interest rate is 6% and the nominal Swiss rate is 4%. According to the international Fisher effect, the franc will _______ by about _______.
a.
appreciate; 3%
b.
appreciate; 1%
c.
depreciate; 3%
d.
depreciate; 2%
e.
appreciate; 2%
 

 7. 

If interest rate parity holds, then the one-year forward rate of a currency will ______ the predicted spot rate of the currency in one year according to the international Fisher effect.
a.
greater than
b.
less than
c.
equal to
d.
answer is dependent on whether the forward rate has a discount or premium
 

 8. 

Assume that the inflation rate in Barbados is 3.20%, while the inflation rate in the UK is 3.00%. According to PPP, the Barbados dollar (BBD) should ___________ by _________%.
a.
appreciate; 0.1938%
c.
appreciate; 0.1942%
b.
depreciate; 0.1938%
d.
depreciate; 0.1942%
 

 9. 

The following regression analysis was conducted for the inflation rate information and exchange rate of the US dollar:
eBP = a0 + a1
Regression results indicate that a0 = 0 and a1 = 2. Therefore:
a.
purchasing power parity holds.
b.
purchasing power parity overestimated the exchange rate change during the period under examination.
c.
purchasing power parity underestimated the exchange rate change during the period under examination.
d.
purchasing power parity will overestimate the exchange rate change of the British pound in the future.
 

 10. 

If nominal British interest rates are 3% and nominal U.S. interest rates are 6%, then the British pound (£) is expected to ____________ by about _________%, according to the international Fisher effect (IFE).
a.
depreciate; 2.9
b.
appreciate; 2.9
c.
depreciate; 1.0
d.
appreciate; 1.0
e.
none of the above
 

 11. 

You have an opportunity to invest in Australia at an interest rate of 8%. Moreover, you expect the Australian dollar (A$) to appreciate by 2%. Your effective return from this investment is:
a.
8.00%.
c.
10.16%.
b.
6.00%.
d.
5.88%.
 

True/False
Indicate whether the statement is true or false.
 

 12. 

Research indicates that deviations from purchasing power parity (PPP) are reduced over the long run.
 



 
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